Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 8 will likely reach 34–36°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses amid an extended late-summer heat pattern across Iberia. This aligns with observed regional anomalies, including Spain’s 45.7°C reading earlier in the week, though Madrid’s elevation and urban heat island effects moderate extremes compared to southern valleys. Climatological baselines for early September average near 28°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 37°C in the city; current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and minimal precipitation risk, supporting trader consensus around the 35–36°C outcomes ahead of final forecast updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on September 8?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 8?
35°C 53%
36°C 35%
34°C 10%
37°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
10%
35°C
53%
36°C
35%
37°C
6%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 53%
36°C 35%
34°C 10%
37°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
31°C or below
$121 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$121 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$613 Обс.
10%
35°C
$635 Обс.
53%
36°C
$671 Обс.
35%
37°C
$465 Обс.
6%
38°C
$171 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$126 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$492 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$327 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 8 will likely reach 34–36°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses amid an extended late-summer heat pattern across Iberia. This aligns with observed regional anomalies, including Spain’s 45.7°C reading earlier in the week, though Madrid’s elevation and urban heat island effects moderate extremes compared to southern valleys. Climatological baselines for early September average near 28°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 37°C in the city; current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and minimal precipitation risk, supporting trader consensus around the 35–36°C outcomes ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,693Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 8 will likely reach 34–36°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses amid an extended late-summer heat pattern across Iberia. This aligns with observed regional anomalies, including Spain’s 45.7°C reading earlier in the week, though Madrid’s elevation and urban heat island effects moderate extremes compared to southern valleys. Climatological baselines for early September average near 28°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 37°C in the city; current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and minimal precipitation risk, supporting trader consensus around the 35–36°C outcomes ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,693Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 8 will likely reach 34–36°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses amid an extended late-summer heat pattern across Iberia. This aligns with observed regional anomalies, including Spain’s 45.7°C reading earlier in the week, though Madrid’s elevation and urban heat island effects moderate extremes compared to southern valleys. Climatological baselines for early September average near 28°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 37°C in the city; current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and minimal precipitation risk, supporting trader consensus around the 35–36°C outcomes ahead of final forecast updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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