Recent official and model forecasts for Chengdu point to a peak temperature of 33–35°C on September 6 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity near 50 percent during peak heating hours. Local meteorological guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau anticipates a high near 34°C with limited afternoon cloud cover that could cap or allow brief spikes depending on exact timing of solar insolation. Ensemble outputs show modest spread around the daily maximum, with some higher-resolution runs reaching 35°C while others stay at 33°C owing to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and transient moisture. The market’s tight clustering on 34°C and 35°C reflects this narrow range of uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations, which will determine resolution based on the single highest recorded value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?
35°C 33%
34°C 28%
36°C 15%
33°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
28%
35°C
33%
36°C
15%
37°C or higher
2%
35°C 33%
34°C 28%
36°C 15%
33°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
28%
35°C
33%
36°C
15%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model forecasts for Chengdu point to a peak temperature of 33–35°C on September 6 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity near 50 percent during peak heating hours. Local meteorological guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau anticipates a high near 34°C with limited afternoon cloud cover that could cap or allow brief spikes depending on exact timing of solar insolation. Ensemble outputs show modest spread around the daily maximum, with some higher-resolution runs reaching 35°C while others stay at 33°C owing to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and transient moisture. The market’s tight clustering on 34°C and 35°C reflects this narrow range of uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations, which will determine resolution based on the single highest recorded value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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