**Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 34°C on September 5 under predominantly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting consistent model outputs and real-time observations showing afternoon peaks near 33–34°C (roughly 91–93°F) amid lingering "autumn tiger" warmth. Regional analyses note minimal precipitation risk today, supporting peak heating before a sharp cooldown and rainfall arrive later in the week. Traders appear confident in the official measurement falling at this level, given alignment across local agency guidance, international models, and current station readings. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover, earlier convective activity, or station-specific microclimate effects that cap the high at 33°C or push it to 35°C. Resolution will depend on the final verified maximum from authoritative monitoring.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
34°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$37,051 Обс.
$37,051 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$37,051 Обс.
$37,051 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$1,156 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,114 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$879 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,636 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$3,731 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$4,722 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$6,998 Обс.
100%
35°C
$5,902 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$3,636 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,409 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,868 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 34°C on September 5 under predominantly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting consistent model outputs and real-time observations showing afternoon peaks near 33–34°C (roughly 91–93°F) amid lingering "autumn tiger" warmth. Regional analyses note minimal precipitation risk today, supporting peak heating before a sharp cooldown and rainfall arrive later in the week.
Traders appear confident in the official measurement falling at this level, given alignment across local agency guidance, international models, and current station readings. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover, earlier convective activity, or station-specific microclimate effects that cap the high at 33°C or push it to 35°C. Resolution will depend on the final verified maximum from authoritative monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,051Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 34°C on September 5 under predominantly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting consistent model outputs and real-time observations showing afternoon peaks near 33–34°C (roughly 91–93°F) amid lingering "autumn tiger" warmth. Regional analyses note minimal precipitation risk today, supporting peak heating before a sharp cooldown and rainfall arrive later in the week.
Traders appear confident in the official measurement falling at this level, given alignment across local agency guidance, international models, and current station readings. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover, earlier convective activity, or station-specific microclimate effects that cap the high at 33°C or push it to 35°C. Resolution will depend on the final verified maximum from authoritative monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,051Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 34°C on September 5 under predominantly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting consistent model outputs and real-time observations showing afternoon peaks near 33–34°C (roughly 91–93°F) amid lingering "autumn tiger" warmth. Regional analyses note minimal precipitation risk today, supporting peak heating before a sharp cooldown and rainfall arrive later in the week. Traders appear confident in the official measurement falling at this level, given alignment across local agency guidance, international models, and current station readings. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover, earlier convective activity, or station-specific microclimate effects that cap the high at 33°C or push it to 35°C. Resolution will depend on the final verified maximum from authoritative monitoring.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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