Latest forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. High pressure promoting subsidence, combined with modest warm advection from the south, supports this range, which sits slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 20.2 °C. Model runs show minimal spread, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 22 °C, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key near-term catalyst before final readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 64%
23°C 17%
21°C 16%
24°C 4%
НОВЕ
$31,648 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,648 Обс.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
64%
23°C
17%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 64%
23°C 17%
21°C 16%
24°C 4%
НОВЕ
$31,648 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,648 Обс.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$145 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$26,704 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$334 Обс.
1%
20°C
$475 Обс.
3%
21°C
$912 Обс.
16%
22°C
$938 Обс.
64%
23°C
$950 Обс.
17%
24°C
$276 Обс.
4%
25°C
$150 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$382 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. High pressure promoting subsidence, combined with modest warm advection from the south, supports this range, which sits slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 20.2 °C. Model runs show minimal spread, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 22 °C, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key near-term catalyst before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,648Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. High pressure promoting subsidence, combined with modest warm advection from the south, supports this range, which sits slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 20.2 °C. Model runs show minimal spread, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 22 °C, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key near-term catalyst before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,648Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. High pressure promoting subsidence, combined with modest warm advection from the south, supports this range, which sits slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 20.2 °C. Model runs show minimal spread, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 22 °C, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key near-term catalyst before final readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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