Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a daytime high in the mid-70s for New York City on September 6, with Central Park and area airports projected near 76–77°F under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds. This pattern follows a period of variable early-September temperatures and reflects below-average conditions relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 79.5°F, driven by northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Trader consensus has concentrated on the 76–77°F outcome at 52% implied probability, with secondary support for 74–75°F, as ensemble runs show limited upside potential for 78°F or higher absent unexpected mixing or clearing. Official observations from the primary reporting station will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on September 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 6?
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
65°F or below
$509 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$67 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$125 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$232 Обс.
2%
72-73°F
$926 Обс.
5%
74-75°F
$672 Обс.
30%
76-77°F
$2,012 Обс.
52%
78-79°F
$1,305 Обс.
14%
80-81°F
$230 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$152 Обс.
1%
84°F or higher
$405 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a daytime high in the mid-70s for New York City on September 6, with Central Park and area airports projected near 76–77°F under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds. This pattern follows a period of variable early-September temperatures and reflects below-average conditions relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 79.5°F, driven by northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Trader consensus has concentrated on the 76–77°F outcome at 52% implied probability, with secondary support for 74–75°F, as ensemble runs show limited upside potential for 78°F or higher absent unexpected mixing or clearing. Official observations from the primary reporting station will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,635Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a daytime high in the mid-70s for New York City on September 6, with Central Park and area airports projected near 76–77°F under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds. This pattern follows a period of variable early-September temperatures and reflects below-average conditions relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 79.5°F, driven by northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Trader consensus has concentrated on the 76–77°F outcome at 52% implied probability, with secondary support for 74–75°F, as ensemble runs show limited upside potential for 78°F or higher absent unexpected mixing or clearing. Official observations from the primary reporting station will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,635Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a daytime high in the mid-70s for New York City on September 6, with Central Park and area airports projected near 76–77°F under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds. This pattern follows a period of variable early-September temperatures and reflects below-average conditions relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 79.5°F, driven by northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Trader consensus has concentrated on the 76–77°F outcome at 52% implied probability, with secondary support for 74–75°F, as ensemble runs show limited upside potential for 78°F or higher absent unexpected mixing or clearing. Official observations from the primary reporting station will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання