Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate Karachi's September 8 minimum will likely fall near 26–27°C amid persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, moderate humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal cooling. This consensus places the outcome near the 26°C and 27°C bins, yet the market assigns comparable implied probabilities to the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher tails because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point advection can alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September minima average 26–27°C, but short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated only 48 hours from resolution, keeping trader positions balanced across the distribution until the next model update or observational data arrives.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
69%
22°C
$0 Обс.
20%
23°C
$0 Обс.
49%
24°C
$0 Обс.
49%
25°C
$0 Обс.
26%
26°C
$0 Обс.
26%
27°C
$0 Обс.
27%
28°C
$0 Обс.
49%
29°C
$0 Обс.
49%
30°C
$0 Обс.
20%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate Karachi's September 8 minimum will likely fall near 26–27°C amid persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, moderate humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal cooling. This consensus places the outcome near the 26°C and 27°C bins, yet the market assigns comparable implied probabilities to the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher tails because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point advection can alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September minima average 26–27°C, but short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated only 48 hours from resolution, keeping trader positions balanced across the distribution until the next model update or observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate Karachi's September 8 minimum will likely fall near 26–27°C amid persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, moderate humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal cooling. This consensus places the outcome near the 26°C and 27°C bins, yet the market assigns comparable implied probabilities to the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher tails because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point advection can alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September minima average 26–27°C, but short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated only 48 hours from resolution, keeping trader positions balanced across the distribution until the next model update or observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate Karachi's September 8 minimum will likely fall near 26–27°C amid persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, moderate humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal cooling. This consensus places the outcome near the 26°C and 27°C bins, yet the market assigns comparable implied probabilities to the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher tails because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point advection can alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September minima average 26–27°C, but short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated only 48 hours from resolution, keeping trader positions balanced across the distribution until the next model update or observational data arrives.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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