Recent model runs from agencies including Spain’s AEMET and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula, with light northeasterly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating on September 17. These conditions align with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2 °C for the date, positioning 26 °C as the market favorite while supporting a secondary chance for 27 °C if insolation increases. Updated hourly guidance peaks near 26 °C in the late afternoon, with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range. No significant frontal passages or anomalous warmth are expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
26°C 64%
27°C 24%
25°C 6%
28°C 4%
НОВЕ
$31,739 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,739 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
64%
27°C
24%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 64%
27°C 24%
25°C 6%
28°C 4%
НОВЕ
$31,739 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,739 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$863 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,440 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$568 Обс.
1%
24°C
$514 Обс.
1%
25°C
$4,498 Обс.
6%
26°C
$7,503 Обс.
64%
27°C
$6,018 Обс.
24%
28°C
$7,246 Обс.
4%
29°C
$1,378 Обс.
1%
30°C
$369 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,342 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies including Spain’s AEMET and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula, with light northeasterly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating on September 17. These conditions align with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2 °C for the date, positioning 26 °C as the market favorite while supporting a secondary chance for 27 °C if insolation increases. Updated hourly guidance peaks near 26 °C in the late afternoon, with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range. No significant frontal passages or anomalous warmth are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,739Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies including Spain’s AEMET and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula, with light northeasterly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating on September 17. These conditions align with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2 °C for the date, positioning 26 °C as the market favorite while supporting a secondary chance for 27 °C if insolation increases. Updated hourly guidance peaks near 26 °C in the late afternoon, with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range. No significant frontal passages or anomalous warmth are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,739Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from agencies including Spain’s AEMET and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula, with light northeasterly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating on September 17. These conditions align with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2 °C for the date, positioning 26 °C as the market favorite while supporting a secondary chance for 27 °C if insolation increases. Updated hourly guidance peaks near 26 °C in the late afternoon, with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range. No significant frontal passages or anomalous warmth are expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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