Recent forecasts for Jeddah show daytime highs hovering near 39–41°C on August 18, driving the near-even split between 40°C-or-higher (45%) and 39°C (41%) market-implied odds. Mid-August peak solar insolation under typically clear skies, combined with Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31°C, sustains elevated boundary-layer heat while humidity modulates apparent temperature. Subtle differences in forecast model runs hinge on wind direction and speed—northerly flows can advect slightly cooler maritime air, whereas weaker or variable winds allow greater continental heating and urban heat-island amplification. Low precipitation probability and persistent subsidence favor the upper end of the range, yet minor shifts in these variables could tip the daily maximum below or above the 40°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 18?
40°C or higher 48%
39°C 40%
38°C 11%
37°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
11%
39°C
40%
40°C or higher
48%
40°C or higher 48%
39°C 40%
38°C 11%
37°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
30°C or below
$372 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$362 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$372 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$229 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$284 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$746 Обс.
2%
37°C
$925 Обс.
5%
38°C
$587 Обс.
11%
39°C
$1,449 Обс.
40%
40°C or higher
$2,135 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Jeddah show daytime highs hovering near 39–41°C on August 18, driving the near-even split between 40°C-or-higher (45%) and 39°C (41%) market-implied odds. Mid-August peak solar insolation under typically clear skies, combined with Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31°C, sustains elevated boundary-layer heat while humidity modulates apparent temperature. Subtle differences in forecast model runs hinge on wind direction and speed—northerly flows can advect slightly cooler maritime air, whereas weaker or variable winds allow greater continental heating and urban heat-island amplification. Low precipitation probability and persistent subsidence favor the upper end of the range, yet minor shifts in these variables could tip the daily maximum below or above the 40°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,843Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Jeddah show daytime highs hovering near 39–41°C on August 18, driving the near-even split between 40°C-or-higher (45%) and 39°C (41%) market-implied odds. Mid-August peak solar insolation under typically clear skies, combined with Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31°C, sustains elevated boundary-layer heat while humidity modulates apparent temperature. Subtle differences in forecast model runs hinge on wind direction and speed—northerly flows can advect slightly cooler maritime air, whereas weaker or variable winds allow greater continental heating and urban heat-island amplification. Low precipitation probability and persistent subsidence favor the upper end of the range, yet minor shifts in these variables could tip the daily maximum below or above the 40°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,843Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Jeddah show daytime highs hovering near 39–41°C on August 18, driving the near-even split between 40°C-or-higher (45%) and 39°C (41%) market-implied odds. Mid-August peak solar insolation under typically clear skies, combined with Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31°C, sustains elevated boundary-layer heat while humidity modulates apparent temperature. Subtle differences in forecast model runs hinge on wind direction and speed—northerly flows can advect slightly cooler maritime air, whereas weaker or variable winds allow greater continental heating and urban heat-island amplification. Low precipitation probability and persistent subsidence favor the upper end of the range, yet minor shifts in these variables could tip the daily maximum below or above the 40°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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