**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recording of 32°C as the absolute daily maximum air temperature at its primary station, consistent with standard WMO-aligned surface observations using calibrated thermometers in a Stevenson screen. Late-August climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C under subtropical conditions, with the observed value aligning with localized heat retention amid light winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover before showers developed. The market's near-certainty stems from the finality of verified HKO data, which serves as the authoritative resolution source. Only an unlikely post-publication correction to the official record or a dispute over the precise measurement location or time window could realistically shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,962 Обс.
$173,962 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,962 Обс.
$173,962 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$2,228 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,223 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,287 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$3,377 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$13,252 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$20,236 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$34,461 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$56,428 Обс.
100%
33°C
$29,179 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$5,934 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$4,357 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recording of 32°C as the absolute daily maximum air temperature at its primary station, consistent with standard WMO-aligned surface observations using calibrated thermometers in a Stevenson screen. Late-August climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C under subtropical conditions, with the observed value aligning with localized heat retention amid light winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover before showers developed.
The market's near-certainty stems from the finality of verified HKO data, which serves as the authoritative resolution source. Only an unlikely post-publication correction to the official record or a dispute over the precise measurement location or time window could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$173,962Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recording of 32°C as the absolute daily maximum air temperature at its primary station, consistent with standard WMO-aligned surface observations using calibrated thermometers in a Stevenson screen. Late-August climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C under subtropical conditions, with the observed value aligning with localized heat retention amid light winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover before showers developed.
The market's near-certainty stems from the finality of verified HKO data, which serves as the authoritative resolution source. Only an unlikely post-publication correction to the official record or a dispute over the precise measurement location or time window could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$173,962Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recording of 32°C as the absolute daily maximum air temperature at its primary station, consistent with standard WMO-aligned surface observations using calibrated thermometers in a Stevenson screen. Late-August climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C under subtropical conditions, with the observed value aligning with localized heat retention amid light winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover before showers developed. The market's near-certainty stems from the finality of verified HKO data, which serves as the authoritative resolution source. Only an unlikely post-publication correction to the official record or a dispute over the precise measurement location or time window could realistically shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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