Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne project a September 14 high near 31–32°C in Guangzhou, consistent with the climatological average of 32°C and recent conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and 80–96% chances of thunderstorms or rain. These factors, driven by subtropical moisture and light northeast winds, limit surface heating and peak temperatures while steering systems keep conditions unsettled. Trader consensus, with 33°C leading at 36% implied probability followed by 32°C at 26% and 34°C at 23%, aligns with this range but accounts for minor model spread on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing that could allow brief spikes. Updated official guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution as the day approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
33°C 36%
32°C 26%
34°C 23%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
26%
33°C
36%
34°C
23%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 36%
32°C 26%
34°C 23%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
26%
33°C
36%
34°C
23%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne project a September 14 high near 31–32°C in Guangzhou, consistent with the climatological average of 32°C and recent conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and 80–96% chances of thunderstorms or rain. These factors, driven by subtropical moisture and light northeast winds, limit surface heating and peak temperatures while steering systems keep conditions unsettled. Trader consensus, with 33°C leading at 36% implied probability followed by 32°C at 26% and 34°C at 23%, aligns with this range but accounts for minor model spread on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing that could allow brief spikes. Updated official guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution as the day approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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