Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall between 24–27°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels and the long-term average low of 24.4°C. Thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover overnight are the main drivers of uncertainty, as widespread rain and high humidity (often above 80%) limit radiative cooling while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near dawn. Light northeast winds provide modest mixing, reducing the chance of sharper drops below 24°C. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 12–18 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13?
26°C 48%
27°C 48%
24°C 48%
23°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 48%
24°C 48%
23°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
$75 Обс.
1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
2%
22°C
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$15 Обс.
10%
24°C
$6 Обс.
48%
25°C
$22 Обс.
49%
26°C
$0 Обс.
48%
27°C
$0 Обс.
48%
28°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall between 24–27°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels and the long-term average low of 24.4°C. Thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover overnight are the main drivers of uncertainty, as widespread rain and high humidity (often above 80%) limit radiative cooling while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near dawn. Light northeast winds provide modest mixing, reducing the chance of sharper drops below 24°C. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 12–18 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$157Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall between 24–27°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels and the long-term average low of 24.4°C. Thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover overnight are the main drivers of uncertainty, as widespread rain and high humidity (often above 80%) limit radiative cooling while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near dawn. Light northeast winds provide modest mixing, reducing the chance of sharper drops below 24°C. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 12–18 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$157Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall between 24–27°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels and the long-term average low of 24.4°C. Thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover overnight are the main drivers of uncertainty, as widespread rain and high humidity (often above 80%) limit radiative cooling while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near dawn. Light northeast winds provide modest mixing, reducing the chance of sharper drops below 24°C. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 12–18 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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