Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu clustered tightly between 28–32°C for September 8, supporting the market’s near-even distribution across those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan basin, combined with limited cloud cover and weak southerly flow, favors the slight edge for 30°C. Urban heat-island effects and typical September climatology—averaging near 29°C—further anchor trader expectations. Model spread remains modest, reflecting short lead time and standard forecast uncertainty; the next GFS and ECMWF runs, along with updated local observations from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the clearest signals for any shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 8?
29°C 26%
30°C 25%
31°C 13%
32°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
13%
32°C
12%
33°C
9%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
4%
29°C 26%
30°C 25%
31°C 13%
32°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
27°C
$0 Обс.
5%
28°C
$54 Обс.
14%
29°C
$53 Обс.
26%
30°C
$5 Обс.
25%
31°C
$0 Обс.
13%
32°C
$211 Обс.
12%
33°C
$2 Обс.
9%
34°C
$23 Обс.
7%
35°C
$0 Обс.
3%
36°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu clustered tightly between 28–32°C for September 8, supporting the market’s near-even distribution across those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan basin, combined with limited cloud cover and weak southerly flow, favors the slight edge for 30°C. Urban heat-island effects and typical September climatology—averaging near 29°C—further anchor trader expectations. Model spread remains modest, reflecting short lead time and standard forecast uncertainty; the next GFS and ECMWF runs, along with updated local observations from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the clearest signals for any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$349Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu clustered tightly between 28–32°C for September 8, supporting the market’s near-even distribution across those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan basin, combined with limited cloud cover and weak southerly flow, favors the slight edge for 30°C. Urban heat-island effects and typical September climatology—averaging near 29°C—further anchor trader expectations. Model spread remains modest, reflecting short lead time and standard forecast uncertainty; the next GFS and ECMWF runs, along with updated local observations from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the clearest signals for any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$349Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu clustered tightly between 28–32°C for September 8, supporting the market’s near-even distribution across those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan basin, combined with limited cloud cover and weak southerly flow, favors the slight edge for 30°C. Urban heat-island effects and typical September climatology—averaging near 29°C—further anchor trader expectations. Model spread remains modest, reflecting short lead time and standard forecast uncertainty; the next GFS and ECMWF runs, along with updated local observations from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the clearest signals for any shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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