Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, fueled by a strong North Pacific High and clear skies promoting intense solar heating, has driven KMA forecasts and early observations for Busan to center on a 37°C daytime maximum on August 7. This aligns with the market's 99.8% implied probability for 37°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified model outputs and historical heatwave patterns where similar synoptic setups produced highs in the mid-30s. Uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or late-day cloud development could realistically shift the observed high by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on August 7?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 7?
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$48,050 Обс.
$48,050 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$48,050 Обс.
$48,050 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
$1,310 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,240 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$1,720 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$3,170 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$3,860 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$12,773 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$8,775 Обс.
100%
38°C
$6,877 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$3,857 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$1,860 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,767 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, fueled by a strong North Pacific High and clear skies promoting intense solar heating, has driven KMA forecasts and early observations for Busan to center on a 37°C daytime maximum on August 7. This aligns with the market's 99.8% implied probability for 37°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified model outputs and historical heatwave patterns where similar synoptic setups produced highs in the mid-30s. Uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or late-day cloud development could realistically shift the observed high by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$48,050Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, fueled by a strong North Pacific High and clear skies promoting intense solar heating, has driven KMA forecasts and early observations for Busan to center on a 37°C daytime maximum on August 7. This aligns with the market's 99.8% implied probability for 37°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified model outputs and historical heatwave patterns where similar synoptic setups produced highs in the mid-30s. Uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or late-day cloud development could realistically shift the observed high by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$48,050Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, fueled by a strong North Pacific High and clear skies promoting intense solar heating, has driven KMA forecasts and early observations for Busan to center on a 37°C daytime maximum on August 7. This aligns with the market's 99.8% implied probability for 37°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified model outputs and historical heatwave patterns where similar synoptic setups produced highs in the mid-30s. Uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or late-day cloud development could realistically shift the observed high by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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