**Latest KMA short-range forecasts and supporting numerical weather models position the maximum temperature at Seoul’s official Incheon station on August 7, 2026, in the mid-30s °C range.** A persistent high-pressure ridge is delivering clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light winds across the region, allowing strong daytime solar heating while humidity remains elevated. Recent observations show Incheon recording 33 °C on August 2 amid a similar hot spell, and early-August model runs have consistently projected peaks of 34–37 °C for the coming days, with the 35–36 °C band emerging as the most probable outcome under current steering patterns. Climatologically, August highs in the Seoul–Incheon area average near 31 °C, but this episode reflects above-normal warmth driven by suppressed precipitation and stable atmospheric conditions. Model consensus narrows the likely range to 34–36 °C, explaining the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes (35 °C at 42.5 %, 36 °C at 29.5 %, 34 °C at 17.5 %). The primary remaining uncertainty stems from small timing shifts in the ridge or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by 1 °C; the next KMA update and final station reading will resolve the market.