Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those informing AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 7, aligning with trader consensus at combined implied odds above 88%. Seasonal August norms feature average minima around 22–23°C, yet persistent high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies have elevated expectations for this range. With no incoming cold front or significant precipitation expected to enhance radiative cooling, probabilities favor these values over cooler outliers, while warmer thresholds remain low-probability given the stable steering flow. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will provide the next key data points for refinement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
28°C 59%
27°C 30%
29°C 7%
26°C 2%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
30%
28°C
59%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 59%
27°C 30%
29°C 7%
26°C 2%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
30%
28°C
59%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those informing AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 7, aligning with trader consensus at combined implied odds above 88%. Seasonal August norms feature average minima around 22–23°C, yet persistent high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies have elevated expectations for this range. With no incoming cold front or significant precipitation expected to enhance radiative cooling, probabilities favor these values over cooler outliers, while warmer thresholds remain low-probability given the stable steering flow. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will provide the next key data points for refinement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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