Recent numerical weather prediction guidance, including consensus from European models, points to mostly sunny conditions and light southerly flow supporting a maximum near 27–28°C in Munich on August 8. This positions 30°C as the leading market outcome at 41% implied probability, reflecting modest upside uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. The early-August warm spell, with verified highs reaching 31°C on August 2 and 36°C on August 3, has anchored trader expectations for residual warmth before a gradual cooling trend sets in. Ensemble spreads remain wide enough for 29–31°C outcomes to retain combined probability above 45%, while lower bins reflect risks from increased cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze influence. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 8?
29°C 42%
30°C 38%
31°C 17%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
42%
30°C
45%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 42%
30°C 38%
31°C 17%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
26°C
$10 Обс.
2%
27°C
$0 Обс.
8%
28°C
$0 Обс.
10%
29°C
$148 Обс.
42%
30°C
$75 Обс.
45%
31°C
$0 Обс.
17%
32°C
$17 Обс.
4%
33°C
$10 Обс.
7%
34°C
$10 Обс.
6%
35°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance, including consensus from European models, points to mostly sunny conditions and light southerly flow supporting a maximum near 27–28°C in Munich on August 8. This positions 30°C as the leading market outcome at 41% implied probability, reflecting modest upside uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. The early-August warm spell, with verified highs reaching 31°C on August 2 and 36°C on August 3, has anchored trader expectations for residual warmth before a gradual cooling trend sets in. Ensemble spreads remain wide enough for 29–31°C outcomes to retain combined probability above 45%, while lower bins reflect risks from increased cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze influence. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$284Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance, including consensus from European models, points to mostly sunny conditions and light southerly flow supporting a maximum near 27–28°C in Munich on August 8. This positions 30°C as the leading market outcome at 41% implied probability, reflecting modest upside uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. The early-August warm spell, with verified highs reaching 31°C on August 2 and 36°C on August 3, has anchored trader expectations for residual warmth before a gradual cooling trend sets in. Ensemble spreads remain wide enough for 29–31°C outcomes to retain combined probability above 45%, while lower bins reflect risks from increased cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze influence. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$284Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction guidance, including consensus from European models, points to mostly sunny conditions and light southerly flow supporting a maximum near 27–28°C in Munich on August 8. This positions 30°C as the leading market outcome at 41% implied probability, reflecting modest upside uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. The early-August warm spell, with verified highs reaching 31°C on August 2 and 36°C on August 3, has anchored trader expectations for residual warmth before a gradual cooling trend sets in. Ensemble spreads remain wide enough for 29–31°C outcomes to retain combined probability above 45%, while lower bins reflect risks from increased cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze influence. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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