**Short-term forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 36–37°C on August 9, aligning with the market’s tight split between those brackets amid typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light winds and variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in peak readings, as even brief convective activity or increased marine influence from the South China Sea can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect amplifies baseline temperatures above regional averages of ~31–32°C, but model differences in timing of any sea-breeze shift or solar insolation under overcast skies explain the close 36°C (33.5%) versus 37°C (27%) pricing. Upcoming high-resolution runs from regional agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 9?
36°C 34%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
34°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
17%
36°C
34%
37°C
27%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 34%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
34°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
30°C or below
$67 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$24 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$12 Обс.
3%
33°C
$108 Обс.
4%
34°C
$129 Обс.
11%
35°C
$0 Обс.
17%
36°C
$98 Обс.
34%
37°C
$22 Обс.
27%
38°C
$7 Обс.
10%
39°C
$133 Обс.
3%
40°C or higher
$1,036 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 36–37°C on August 9, aligning with the market’s tight split between those brackets amid typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light winds and variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in peak readings, as even brief convective activity or increased marine influence from the South China Sea can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect amplifies baseline temperatures above regional averages of ~31–32°C, but model differences in timing of any sea-breeze shift or solar insolation under overcast skies explain the close 36°C (33.5%) versus 37°C (27%) pricing. Upcoming high-resolution runs from regional agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,635Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 36–37°C on August 9, aligning with the market’s tight split between those brackets amid typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light winds and variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in peak readings, as even brief convective activity or increased marine influence from the South China Sea can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect amplifies baseline temperatures above regional averages of ~31–32°C, but model differences in timing of any sea-breeze shift or solar insolation under overcast skies explain the close 36°C (33.5%) versus 37°C (27%) pricing. Upcoming high-resolution runs from regional agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,635Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 36–37°C on August 9, aligning with the market’s tight split between those brackets amid typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light winds and variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in peak readings, as even brief convective activity or increased marine influence from the South China Sea can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect amplifies baseline temperatures above regional averages of ~31–32°C, but model differences in timing of any sea-breeze shift or solar insolation under overcast skies explain the close 36°C (33.5%) versus 37°C (27%) pricing. Upcoming high-resolution runs from regional agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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