Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows high pressure building across southern England, sustaining a warm air mass with light winds and mostly clear skies through the weekend. This setup favors daytime maxima near 29–34 °C while overnight radiative cooling produces minima clustered around 16–18 °C for London on 9 August, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities at those levels. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, though any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the 850 hPa ridge could nudge the minimum a degree either way. Updated model runs and official guidance issued over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for further movement in the implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 9?
Lowest temperature in London on August 9?
17°C 40%
16°C 19%
18°C 19%
19°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
19%
17°C
40%
18°C
19%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 19%
18°C 19%
19°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Обс.
4%
13°C
$5 Обс.
4%
14°C
$20 Обс.
3%
15°C
$10 Обс.
5%
16°C
$193 Обс.
19%
17°C
$838 Обс.
40%
18°C
$20 Обс.
19%
19°C
$30 Обс.
12%
20°C
$10 Обс.
5%
21°C
$17 Обс.
6%
22°C or higher
$10 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows high pressure building across southern England, sustaining a warm air mass with light winds and mostly clear skies through the weekend. This setup favors daytime maxima near 29–34 °C while overnight radiative cooling produces minima clustered around 16–18 °C for London on 9 August, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities at those levels. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, though any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the 850 hPa ridge could nudge the minimum a degree either way. Updated model runs and official guidance issued over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for further movement in the implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,158Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows high pressure building across southern England, sustaining a warm air mass with light winds and mostly clear skies through the weekend. This setup favors daytime maxima near 29–34 °C while overnight radiative cooling produces minima clustered around 16–18 °C for London on 9 August, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities at those levels. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, though any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the 850 hPa ridge could nudge the minimum a degree either way. Updated model runs and official guidance issued over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for further movement in the implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,158Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows high pressure building across southern England, sustaining a warm air mass with light winds and mostly clear skies through the weekend. This setup favors daytime maxima near 29–34 °C while overnight radiative cooling produces minima clustered around 16–18 °C for London on 9 August, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities at those levels. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, though any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the 850 hPa ridge could nudge the minimum a degree either way. Updated model runs and official guidance issued over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for further movement in the implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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