Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a 33–34°C range for the August 7 maximum, driven by typical southwest monsoon flow with moderate southwesterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that could limit afternoon heating. Recent subsidence after earlier rain events has allowed partial clearing, supporting the narrow lead for 34°C in trader consensus, though increased cloud cover or timing of convection introduces uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, with urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral conditions this season tilting slightly above normal. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
34°C 41%
33°C 35%
35°C 17%
36°C 7%
НОВЕ
$26,735 Обс.
НОВЕ
$26,735 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
35%
34°C
41%
35°C
17%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 35%
35°C 17%
36°C 7%
НОВЕ
$26,735 Обс.
НОВЕ
$26,735 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
$1,984 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,003 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,628 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$4,184 Обс.
5%
33°C
$3,030 Обс.
35%
34°C
$2,916 Обс.
41%
35°C
$5,491 Обс.
17%
36°C
$4,216 Обс.
7%
37°C
$1,313 Обс.
1%
38°C
$606 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,631 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a 33–34°C range for the August 7 maximum, driven by typical southwest monsoon flow with moderate southwesterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that could limit afternoon heating. Recent subsidence after earlier rain events has allowed partial clearing, supporting the narrow lead for 34°C in trader consensus, though increased cloud cover or timing of convection introduces uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, with urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral conditions this season tilting slightly above normal. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,735Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a 33–34°C range for the August 7 maximum, driven by typical southwest monsoon flow with moderate southwesterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that could limit afternoon heating. Recent subsidence after earlier rain events has allowed partial clearing, supporting the narrow lead for 34°C in trader consensus, though increased cloud cover or timing of convection introduces uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, with urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral conditions this season tilting slightly above normal. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$26,735Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a 33–34°C range for the August 7 maximum, driven by typical southwest monsoon flow with moderate southwesterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that could limit afternoon heating. Recent subsidence after earlier rain events has allowed partial clearing, supporting the narrow lead for 34°C in trader consensus, though increased cloud cover or timing of convection introduces uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, with urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral conditions this season tilting slightly above normal. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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