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icon for Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце
Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

icon for Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце
Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

Флавіо Болсонару 90%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 5.9%

Ренан Сантос 1.7%

Augusto Cury 1.1%

Polymarket

$6,496,046 Обс.

Флавіо Болсонару 90%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 5.9%

Ренан Сантос 1.7%

Augusto Cury 1.1%

Polymarket

$6,496,046 Обс.

icon for Флавіо Болсонару

Флавіо Болсонару

$596,874 Обс.

90%

icon for Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

$470,503 Обс.

6%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$1,242,122 Обс.

2%

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$142,790 Обс.

1%

icon for Ромеу Земі

Ромеу Земі

$380,140 Обс.

<1%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$810,124 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Болсонару

Едуарду Болсонару

$173,474 Обс.

<1%

icon for Алду Ребелу

Алду Ребелу

$143,571 Обс.

<1%

icon for Тарсіо де Фрейтас

Тарсіо де Фрейтас

$274,513 Обс.

<1%

icon for Мішель Болсонару

Мішель Болсонару

$218,879 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жаїр Болсонару

Жаїр Болсонару

$205,017 Обс.

<1%

icon for Роналду Каяду

Роналду Каяду

$452,453 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жералду Алкмін

Жералду Алкмін

$228,702 Обс.

<1%

icon for Камілу Сантана

Камілу Сантана

$207,849 Обс.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$20,972 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ратінью Жуніор

Ратінью Жуніор

$750,154 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Лейте

Едуарду Лейте

$142,390 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$35,519 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leading first-round voting intentions at 37-40%, with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) consistently second at 30-34%. This gap has narrowed slightly in recent surveys but remains stable, reflecting consolidation of right-leaning support behind the Liberal Party nominee and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. Other candidates, including Augusto Cury (Avante) at 8-10%, Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Renan Santos (Missão), and Romeu Zema (Novo), trail further behind amid vote fragmentation on the right. Campaign advertising began in late August ahead of the October 4 first round, with no major shifts in positioning reported since party conventions concluded in early August. Trader pricing aligns with this evidence of a durable two-candidate structure for advancement to a potential runoff.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$6,496,046
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leading first-round voting intentions at 37-40%, with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) consistently second at 30-34%. This gap has narrowed slightly in recent surveys but remains stable, reflecting consolidation of right-leaning support behind the Liberal Party nominee and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. Other candidates, including Augusto Cury (Avante) at 8-10%, Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Renan Santos (Missão), and Romeu Zema (Novo), trail further behind amid vote fragmentation on the right. Campaign advertising began in late August ahead of the October 4 first round, with no major shifts in positioning reported since party conventions concluded in early August. Trader pricing aligns with this evidence of a durable two-candidate structure for advancement to a potential runoff.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$6,496,046
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

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Zcash Up or Down

50%
Up
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XRP Up or Down

September 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

51%
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XRP Up or Down

51%
Up

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 18 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 90%, далі «Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» згенерував $6.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце», перегляньте 18 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 90%. Наступний — «Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.