Current National Weather Service and model guidance for August 16 point to an overnight low near 68–70°F in New York City under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 70–73°F bins. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points in the mid-60s limits radiational cooling, while the urban heat island and proximity to the Atlantic further moderate temperature drops. This aligns with climatological August minima around 68–70°F at Central Park and the broader seasonal pattern of above-average warmth. Recent forecast updates show no strong cold advection or frontal passage through the period, keeping probabilities stable ahead of the final overnight observations that will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
72-73°F 54%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
54%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 54%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
63°F or below
$5 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$75 Vol.
12%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
32%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
54%
74-75°F
$39 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for August 16 point to an overnight low near 68–70°F in New York City under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 70–73°F bins. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points in the mid-60s limits radiational cooling, while the urban heat island and proximity to the Atlantic further moderate temperature drops. This aligns with climatological August minima around 68–70°F at Central Park and the broader seasonal pattern of above-average warmth. Recent forecast updates show no strong cold advection or frontal passage through the period, keeping probabilities stable ahead of the final overnight observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$144Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for August 16 point to an overnight low near 68–70°F in New York City under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 70–73°F bins. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points in the mid-60s limits radiational cooling, while the urban heat island and proximity to the Atlantic further moderate temperature drops. This aligns with climatological August minima around 68–70°F at Central Park and the broader seasonal pattern of above-average warmth. Recent forecast updates show no strong cold advection or frontal passage through the period, keeping probabilities stable ahead of the final overnight observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for August 16 point to an overnight low near 68–70°F in New York City under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 70–73°F bins. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points in the mid-60s limits radiational cooling, while the urban heat island and proximity to the Atlantic further moderate temperature drops. This aligns with climatological August minima around 68–70°F at Central Park and the broader seasonal pattern of above-average warmth. Recent forecast updates show no strong cold advection or frontal passage through the period, keeping probabilities stable ahead of the final overnight observations that will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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