Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects an overnight low near 69–72°F for New York City on August 15, consistent with typical late-summer minimums around 69°F at Central Park and the market’s concentration on 70–73°F bins. Persistent warmth aloft, elevated dew points, and limited cold-air advection under a subtropical ridge keep temperatures from falling further, while minor steering influences from potential southern systems introduce slight downward variability. Official resolution relies on the verified Central Park reading, where urban heat retention and measurement precision can shift the exact value within the leading ranges. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
70-71°F 46%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 11%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
11%
76°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 46%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 11%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
11%
76°F or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects an overnight low near 69–72°F for New York City on August 15, consistent with typical late-summer minimums around 69°F at Central Park and the market’s concentration on 70–73°F bins. Persistent warmth aloft, elevated dew points, and limited cold-air advection under a subtropical ridge keep temperatures from falling further, while minor steering influences from potential southern systems introduce slight downward variability. Official resolution relies on the verified Central Park reading, where urban heat retention and measurement precision can shift the exact value within the leading ranges. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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