Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and UK Met Office indicate a moderating high-pressure influence over the North Sea, with southeasterly flow and partial cloud cover expected to cap Amsterdam’s maximum temperature near 22°C on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading 36% implied probability. Minor model disagreements on frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produce the tight clustering around 22–23°C outcomes, while KNMI station data at Schiphol will resolve the market using official 2-meter observations. Historical August maxima average 21–22°C, so current guidance reflects typical late-summer variability rather than extremes, with limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects under the projected conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
22°C 36%
23°C 30%
24°C 14%
21°C 9%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
36%
23°C
30%
24°C
14%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
23°C 30%
24°C 14%
21°C 9%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
36%
23°C
30%
24°C
14%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and UK Met Office indicate a moderating high-pressure influence over the North Sea, with southeasterly flow and partial cloud cover expected to cap Amsterdam’s maximum temperature near 22°C on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading 36% implied probability. Minor model disagreements on frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produce the tight clustering around 22–23°C outcomes, while KNMI station data at Schiphol will resolve the market using official 2-meter observations. Historical August maxima average 21–22°C, so current guidance reflects typical late-summer variability rather than extremes, with limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects under the projected conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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