Official forecasts from the Met Office project a London maximum of 27°C on August 15, aligning with ensemble model consensus amid a broader warm summer pattern where daytime highs have run 2–3°C above average. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow support this outcome, though minor variations in cloud cover or timing of any sea breeze could shift readings by 1°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 26°C reflects these near-term model runs and historical August baselines around 23°C, with limited upside risk given stable steering patterns. Updated guidance later today or tomorrow morning will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 15?
27°C 50%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 6%
$51,023 Vol.
$51,023 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
28%
27°C
50%
28°C
18%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 50%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 6%
$51,023 Vol.
$51,023 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
28%
27°C
50%
28°C
18%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office project a London maximum of 27°C on August 15, aligning with ensemble model consensus amid a broader warm summer pattern where daytime highs have run 2–3°C above average. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow support this outcome, though minor variations in cloud cover or timing of any sea breeze could shift readings by 1°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 26°C reflects these near-term model runs and historical August baselines around 23°C, with limited upside risk given stable steering patterns. Updated guidance later today or tomorrow morning will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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