Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low of 80–82°F on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 42% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 75°F, and minimal overnight cloud cover or rainfall have limited radiative cooling, sustaining the current heat wave that has produced consecutive nights above seasonal norms. Light east-southeast winds off the warm Atlantic further suppress temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect in Miami-Dade adds a few degrees. With no approaching cold front or tropical moisture expected before the 16th, model consensus favors another low in the low 80s; any increase in thunderstorm activity or stronger onshore flow could nudge readings toward the 80–81°F range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 16?
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
$131 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$38 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$213 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$116 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$188 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$127 Vol.
41%
84-85°F
$194 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$74 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$116 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low of 80–82°F on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 42% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 75°F, and minimal overnight cloud cover or rainfall have limited radiative cooling, sustaining the current heat wave that has produced consecutive nights above seasonal norms. Light east-southeast winds off the warm Atlantic further suppress temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect in Miami-Dade adds a few degrees. With no approaching cold front or tropical moisture expected before the 16th, model consensus favors another low in the low 80s; any increase in thunderstorm activity or stronger onshore flow could nudge readings toward the 80–81°F range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,322Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low of 80–82°F on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 42% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 75°F, and minimal overnight cloud cover or rainfall have limited radiative cooling, sustaining the current heat wave that has produced consecutive nights above seasonal norms. Light east-southeast winds off the warm Atlantic further suppress temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect in Miami-Dade adds a few degrees. With no approaching cold front or tropical moisture expected before the 16th, model consensus favors another low in the low 80s; any increase in thunderstorm activity or stronger onshore flow could nudge readings toward the 80–81°F range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,322Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low of 80–82°F on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 42% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 75°F, and minimal overnight cloud cover or rainfall have limited radiative cooling, sustaining the current heat wave that has produced consecutive nights above seasonal norms. Light east-southeast winds off the warm Atlantic further suppress temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect in Miami-Dade adds a few degrees. With no approaching cold front or tropical moisture expected before the 16th, model consensus favors another low in the low 80s; any increase in thunderstorm activity or stronger onshore flow could nudge readings toward the 80–81°F range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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