Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a mild overnight minimum for Moscow on August 31 around 15–17 °C, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air under variable cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent runs show overnight temperatures holding near 15 °C with only modest spread, yet traders assign comparable implied probabilities across 13–16 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects both the narrow forecast envelope for late-summer conditions and the resolution risk inherent in official station measurements.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
9°C or below 88%
19°C or higher 86%
17°C 50%
13°C 46%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
9°C or below
88%
10°C
44%
11°C
45%
12°C
45%
13°C
46%
14°C
46%
15°C
45%
16°C
43%
17°C
50%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
86%
9°C or below 88%
19°C or higher 86%
17°C 50%
13°C 46%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
9°C or below
$61 Vol.
88%
10°C
$60 Vol.
44%
11°C
$0 Vol.
45%
12°C
$0 Vol.
45%
13°C
$0 Vol.
46%
14°C
$0 Vol.
46%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
43%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$145 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a mild overnight minimum for Moscow on August 31 around 15–17 °C, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air under variable cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent runs show overnight temperatures holding near 15 °C with only modest spread, yet traders assign comparable implied probabilities across 13–16 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects both the narrow forecast envelope for late-summer conditions and the resolution risk inherent in official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$271Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a mild overnight minimum for Moscow on August 31 around 15–17 °C, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air under variable cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent runs show overnight temperatures holding near 15 °C with only modest spread, yet traders assign comparable implied probabilities across 13–16 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects both the narrow forecast envelope for late-summer conditions and the resolution risk inherent in official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$271Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a mild overnight minimum for Moscow on August 31 around 15–17 °C, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air under variable cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent runs show overnight temperatures holding near 15 °C with only modest spread, yet traders assign comparable implied probabilities across 13–16 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects both the narrow forecast envelope for late-summer conditions and the resolution risk inherent in official station measurements.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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