Persistent cloud cover and high rain probability (around 70%) across Mexico City on August 23, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and tropical wave activity, are moderating overnight radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Multiple forecast models converge on minimum temperatures of 12–13°C under light northerly winds, aligning with climatological August lows near 13°C while ruling out colder extremes or warmer nights. This consensus, backed by real-time meteorological agency guidance, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C and 13°C outcomes as the most probable resolutions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
12°C 33%
11°C 33%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$1,832 Vol.
$1,832 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
33%
12°C
33%
13°C
46%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 33%
11°C 33%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$1,832 Vol.
$1,832 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
33%
12°C
33%
13°C
46%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and high rain probability (around 70%) across Mexico City on August 23, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and tropical wave activity, are moderating overnight radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Multiple forecast models converge on minimum temperatures of 12–13°C under light northerly winds, aligning with climatological August lows near 13°C while ruling out colder extremes or warmer nights. This consensus, backed by real-time meteorological agency guidance, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C and 13°C outcomes as the most probable resolutions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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