Recent monsoon weakening and forecasts of isolated rain or thunderstorms over Lucknow on August 25 are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of trader odds around 26–28°C minimums. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the active trough limit nocturnal radiative cooling, typically holding overnight lows near or above the seasonal 27°C average, while lighter winds and any breaks in precipitation could allow modest drops toward 25–26°C. Official IMD guidance shows minimum temperatures likely stabilizing near 26–28°C amid below-normal rainfall trends, with model consensus favoring limited intensification of cooling factors before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
27°C 35%
32°C or higher 32%
26°C 31%
28°C 28%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
35%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
32%
27°C 35%
32°C or higher 32%
26°C 31%
28°C 28%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
35%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon weakening and forecasts of isolated rain or thunderstorms over Lucknow on August 25 are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of trader odds around 26–28°C minimums. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the active trough limit nocturnal radiative cooling, typically holding overnight lows near or above the seasonal 27°C average, while lighter winds and any breaks in precipitation could allow modest drops toward 25–26°C. Official IMD guidance shows minimum temperatures likely stabilizing near 26–28°C amid below-normal rainfall trends, with model consensus favoring limited intensification of cooling factors before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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