Current meteorological forecasts position 16–18°C as the leading outcomes for London’s minimum temperature on August 19, reflecting mild Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Official guidance, including Met Office and BBC projections, indicates overnight lows near 13–17°C amid light winds and possible light rain, with recent model consensus favoring the upper end of that range due to warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering around 17°C (57.5%), as markets aggregate skin-in-the-game assessments of forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from London stations. Historical August baselines near 14°C underscore the mild anomaly, while any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 19?
Lowest temperature in London on August 19?
17°C 55%
16°C 24%
18°C 14%
15°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 19, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
24%
17°C
55%
18°C
14%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 55%
16°C 24%
18°C 14%
15°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 19, 2026
11°C or below
$108 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$50 Vol.
1%
15°C
$260 Vol.
4%
16°C
$1,049 Vol.
24%
17°C
$1,978 Vol.
55%
18°C
$601 Vol.
14%
19°C
$167 Vol.
1%
20°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts position 16–18°C as the leading outcomes for London’s minimum temperature on August 19, reflecting mild Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Official guidance, including Met Office and BBC projections, indicates overnight lows near 13–17°C amid light winds and possible light rain, with recent model consensus favoring the upper end of that range due to warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering around 17°C (57.5%), as markets aggregate skin-in-the-game assessments of forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from London stations. Historical August baselines near 14°C underscore the mild anomaly, while any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$4,669Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts position 16–18°C as the leading outcomes for London’s minimum temperature on August 19, reflecting mild Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Official guidance, including Met Office and BBC projections, indicates overnight lows near 13–17°C amid light winds and possible light rain, with recent model consensus favoring the upper end of that range due to warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering around 17°C (57.5%), as markets aggregate skin-in-the-game assessments of forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from London stations. Historical August baselines near 14°C underscore the mild anomaly, while any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,669Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts position 16–18°C as the leading outcomes for London’s minimum temperature on August 19, reflecting mild Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Official guidance, including Met Office and BBC projections, indicates overnight lows near 13–17°C amid light winds and possible light rain, with recent model consensus favoring the upper end of that range due to warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering around 17°C (57.5%), as markets aggregate skin-in-the-game assessments of forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from London stations. Historical August baselines near 14°C underscore the mild anomaly, while any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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