Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to overnight lows in Karachi on September 1 hovering near 25–27 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow and elevated humidity from the Arabian Sea are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds and partial cloud cover further stabilize nighttime temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. The absence of active low-pressure systems or significant rainfall in the latest updates keeps extreme deviations (below 23 °C or above 30 °C) at low implied odds. Traders are weighing minor model spreads in dew-point and wind forecasts that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Karachi on September 1?
29°C 49%
32°C or higher 29%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
24%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
29%
29°C 49%
32°C or higher 29%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
24%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to overnight lows in Karachi on September 1 hovering near 25–27 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow and elevated humidity from the Arabian Sea are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds and partial cloud cover further stabilize nighttime temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. The absence of active low-pressure systems or significant rainfall in the latest updates keeps extreme deviations (below 23 °C or above 30 °C) at low implied odds. Traders are weighing minor model spreads in dew-point and wind forecasts that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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