**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s°F for Denver on August 30, 2026, with ranges cited between roughly 57–64°F across guidance.** This positions the 59°F-or-below bin as a plausible but not dominant outcome (market-implied 47%), while the clustered 60–65°F ranges reflect the tight consensus around typical late-summer radiative cooling at Denver’s ~5,280 ft elevation. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 85–90°F, producing the expected diurnal swing of 20–30°F. No strong cold advection or unusual moisture is present to push temperatures markedly lower or higher than seasonal norms. Historical August 30 lows average near 55°F, but current conditions track slightly warmer, consistent with the elevated forecast values. Traders appear to price residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-scale variations (e.g., urban heat island effects or brief clearing), keeping meaningful probability on the 59°F threshold and adjacent bins while discounting warmer outliers. The market will resolve on official observations once the full 24-hour period ends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
64-65°F 27%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 15%
60-61°F 13%
59°F or below
48%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 27%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 15%
60-61°F 13%
59°F or below
48%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s°F for Denver on August 30, 2026, with ranges cited between roughly 57–64°F across guidance.** This positions the 59°F-or-below bin as a plausible but not dominant outcome (market-implied 47%), while the clustered 60–65°F ranges reflect the tight consensus around typical late-summer radiative cooling at Denver’s ~5,280 ft elevation. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 85–90°F, producing the expected diurnal swing of 20–30°F. No strong cold advection or unusual moisture is present to push temperatures markedly lower or higher than seasonal norms. Historical August 30 lows average near 55°F, but current conditions track slightly warmer, consistent with the elevated forecast values. Traders appear to price residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-scale variations (e.g., urban heat island effects or brief clearing), keeping meaningful probability on the 59°F threshold and adjacent bins while discounting warmer outliers. The market will resolve on official observations once the full 24-hour period ends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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