**Forecast models for Cape Town on August 31 point to a minimum near 9–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10°C.** Recent observations show milder overnight lows than the August average (roughly 8°C), with radiative cooling limited by dew points near 5–7°C and gentle breezes preventing stronger surface chilling. Key differentiating factors include exact wind speed—calmer conditions favor the lower end near 8°C—while slightly stronger flow or residual cloud cover supports 10°C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and global models shows little disagreement, yet small shifts in the final overnight readings can easily tip resolution between the leading outcomes. Traders are weighting the narrow uncertainty range heavily because resolution hinges on a single night’s minimum reading.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
8°C 29%
10°C 28%
9°C 27%
7°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
9%
6°C
25%
7°C
26%
8°C
29%
9°C
27%
10°C
28%
11°C
25%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
1%
8°C 29%
10°C 28%
9°C 27%
7°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
$80 Vol.
9%
6°C
$0 Vol.
25%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
29%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$5 Vol.
4%
14°C
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Cape Town on August 31 point to a minimum near 9–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10°C.** Recent observations show milder overnight lows than the August average (roughly 8°C), with radiative cooling limited by dew points near 5–7°C and gentle breezes preventing stronger surface chilling. Key differentiating factors include exact wind speed—calmer conditions favor the lower end near 8°C—while slightly stronger flow or residual cloud cover supports 10°C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and global models shows little disagreement, yet small shifts in the final overnight readings can easily tip resolution between the leading outcomes. Traders are weighting the narrow uncertainty range heavily because resolution hinges on a single night’s minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$95Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Cape Town on August 31 point to a minimum near 9–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10°C.** Recent observations show milder overnight lows than the August average (roughly 8°C), with radiative cooling limited by dew points near 5–7°C and gentle breezes preventing stronger surface chilling. Key differentiating factors include exact wind speed—calmer conditions favor the lower end near 8°C—while slightly stronger flow or residual cloud cover supports 10°C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and global models shows little disagreement, yet small shifts in the final overnight readings can easily tip resolution between the leading outcomes. Traders are weighting the narrow uncertainty range heavily because resolution hinges on a single night’s minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Cape Town on August 31 point to a minimum near 9–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10°C.** Recent observations show milder overnight lows than the August average (roughly 8°C), with radiative cooling limited by dew points near 5–7°C and gentle breezes preventing stronger surface chilling. Key differentiating factors include exact wind speed—calmer conditions favor the lower end near 8°C—while slightly stronger flow or residual cloud cover supports 10°C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and global models shows little disagreement, yet small shifts in the final overnight readings can easily tip resolution between the leading outcomes. Traders are weighting the narrow uncertainty range heavily because resolution hinges on a single night’s minimum reading.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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