Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C in Cape Town on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's strong 60.5% implied probability for that outcome. This follows a recent cold front passage that kept conditions mild but dry, with August climatology showing average highs near 17–18°C and typical daily maxima rarely exceeding 20°C or falling below 15°C at this time of year. Consensus across sources points to afternoon peaks of 16–18°C without significant warming or cooling signals in the latest runs, supporting the 28% odds on 18°C and lower probabilities for outliers. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and historical baselines heavily ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
17°C 62%
18°C 29%
16°C 8%
19°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
8%
17°C
62%
18°C
29%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 62%
18°C 29%
16°C 8%
19°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$133 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$125 Vol.
3%
16°C
$563 Vol.
8%
17°C
$1,878 Vol.
62%
18°C
$468 Vol.
29%
19°C
$1,266 Vol.
4%
20°C
$109 Vol.
2%
21°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C in Cape Town on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's strong 60.5% implied probability for that outcome. This follows a recent cold front passage that kept conditions mild but dry, with August climatology showing average highs near 17–18°C and typical daily maxima rarely exceeding 20°C or falling below 15°C at this time of year. Consensus across sources points to afternoon peaks of 16–18°C without significant warming or cooling signals in the latest runs, supporting the 28% odds on 18°C and lower probabilities for outliers. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and historical baselines heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,908Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C in Cape Town on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's strong 60.5% implied probability for that outcome. This follows a recent cold front passage that kept conditions mild but dry, with August climatology showing average highs near 17–18°C and typical daily maxima rarely exceeding 20°C or falling below 15°C at this time of year. Consensus across sources points to afternoon peaks of 16–18°C without significant warming or cooling signals in the latest runs, supporting the 28% odds on 18°C and lower probabilities for outliers. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and historical baselines heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,908Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C in Cape Town on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's strong 60.5% implied probability for that outcome. This follows a recent cold front passage that kept conditions mild but dry, with August climatology showing average highs near 17–18°C and typical daily maxima rarely exceeding 20°C or falling below 15°C at this time of year. Consensus across sources points to afternoon peaks of 16–18°C without significant warming or cooling signals in the latest runs, supporting the 28% odds on 18°C and lower probabilities for outliers. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and historical baselines heavily ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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