**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and regional guidance, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into August 31, favoring radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge.** Dew points near 10–13°C and minimal cloud cover support minimum temperatures in the 14–17°C range at Ankara stations, consistent with late-August climatology where clear, calm nights routinely produce lows 3–5°C below daytime averages. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14°C: stronger decoupling or marginally drier air could push readings toward the lower end of that band, while any residual moisture or light turbulence would hold values near 15–16°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise timing of the nocturnal minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
11°C or below 36%
13°C 33%
14°C 28%
12°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
36%
12°C
26%
13°C
33%
14°C
28%
15°C
24%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
11°C or below 36%
13°C 33%
14°C 28%
12°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
36%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
33%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$54 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and regional guidance, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into August 31, favoring radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge.** Dew points near 10–13°C and minimal cloud cover support minimum temperatures in the 14–17°C range at Ankara stations, consistent with late-August climatology where clear, calm nights routinely produce lows 3–5°C below daytime averages.
Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14°C: stronger decoupling or marginally drier air could push readings toward the lower end of that band, while any residual moisture or light turbulence would hold values near 15–16°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise timing of the nocturnal minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$69Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and regional guidance, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into August 31, favoring radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge.** Dew points near 10–13°C and minimal cloud cover support minimum temperatures in the 14–17°C range at Ankara stations, consistent with late-August climatology where clear, calm nights routinely produce lows 3–5°C below daytime averages.
Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14°C: stronger decoupling or marginally drier air could push readings toward the lower end of that band, while any residual moisture or light turbulence would hold values near 15–16°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise timing of the nocturnal minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and regional guidance, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into August 31, favoring radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge.** Dew points near 10–13°C and minimal cloud cover support minimum temperatures in the 14–17°C range at Ankara stations, consistent with late-August climatology where clear, calm nights routinely produce lows 3–5°C below daytime averages. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14°C: stronger decoupling or marginally drier air could push readings toward the lower end of that band, while any residual moisture or light turbulence would hold values near 15–16°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise timing of the nocturnal minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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