**Recent forecast model runs and observational data from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a minimum temperature near 15 °C for Ankara on August 30, 2026.** Overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with light northerly winds and dew points in the low teens, supports this level without significant advection of warmer air. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows around 14–16 °C, providing context that the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus across ensemble guidance, with limited spread in projected minima. Only a notable increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in steering flow would realistically push readings outside the narrow 14–16 °C band by dawn.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
15°C 96%
11°C 59%
14°C 30%
10°C 13%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
13%
11°C
59%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
30%
15°C
96%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 96%
11°C 59%
14°C 30%
10°C 13%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
13%
11°C
59%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
30%
15°C
96%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast model runs and observational data from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a minimum temperature near 15 °C for Ankara on August 30, 2026.** Overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with light northerly winds and dew points in the low teens, supports this level without significant advection of warmer air. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows around 14–16 °C, providing context that the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus across ensemble guidance, with limited spread in projected minima. Only a notable increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in steering flow would realistically push readings outside the narrow 14–16 °C band by dawn.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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