Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 17–18 °C for Ankara on August 25 under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity that favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33 °C. This typical late-summer diurnal range produces the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a minimum at or below 15 °C versus 25 °C or higher, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Official updates from Turkish meteorological sources and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 16–18 °C bins ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
25°C or higher 87%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
15°C or below
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
23%
19°C
16%
20°C
19%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
87%
25°C or higher 87%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
15°C or below
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
23%
19°C
16%
20°C
19%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 17–18 °C for Ankara on August 25 under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity that favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33 °C. This typical late-summer diurnal range produces the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a minimum at or below 15 °C versus 25 °C or higher, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Official updates from Turkish meteorological sources and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 16–18 °C bins ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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