Latest ensemble forecasts and observational data position the market around 26–27°C because a southerly flow is advecting warmer air into central Poland while daytime heating peaks near solar noon on August 31. Multiple model runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance updated within the past 24 hours, show maximum temperatures reaching 25–27°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit further warming. Historical late-August climatology for Warsaw places average daily maxima near 24°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly. Traders are weighting the 46.5% probability on 27°C or higher and 35% on exactly 26°C due to residual uncertainty in cloud timing and precipitation amounts; new high-resolution model updates and official IMGW briefings expected later today could refine these implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
27°C or higher 48%
26°C 35%
25°C 14%
24°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
14%
26°C
35%
27°C or higher
48%
27°C or higher 48%
26°C 35%
25°C 14%
24°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$251 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$195 Vol.
3%
24°C
$226 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,361 Vol.
14%
26°C
$394 Vol.
35%
27°C or higher
$2,554 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts and observational data position the market around 26–27°C because a southerly flow is advecting warmer air into central Poland while daytime heating peaks near solar noon on August 31. Multiple model runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance updated within the past 24 hours, show maximum temperatures reaching 25–27°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit further warming. Historical late-August climatology for Warsaw places average daily maxima near 24°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly. Traders are weighting the 46.5% probability on 27°C or higher and 35% on exactly 26°C due to residual uncertainty in cloud timing and precipitation amounts; new high-resolution model updates and official IMGW briefings expected later today could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,557Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts and observational data position the market around 26–27°C because a southerly flow is advecting warmer air into central Poland while daytime heating peaks near solar noon on August 31. Multiple model runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance updated within the past 24 hours, show maximum temperatures reaching 25–27°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit further warming. Historical late-August climatology for Warsaw places average daily maxima near 24°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly. Traders are weighting the 46.5% probability on 27°C or higher and 35% on exactly 26°C due to residual uncertainty in cloud timing and precipitation amounts; new high-resolution model updates and official IMGW briefings expected later today could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,557Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts and observational data position the market around 26–27°C because a southerly flow is advecting warmer air into central Poland while daytime heating peaks near solar noon on August 31. Multiple model runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance updated within the past 24 hours, show maximum temperatures reaching 25–27°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit further warming. Historical late-August climatology for Warsaw places average daily maxima near 24°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly. Traders are weighting the 46.5% probability on 27°C or higher and 35% on exactly 26°C due to residual uncertainty in cloud timing and precipitation amounts; new high-resolution model updates and official IMGW briefings expected later today could refine these implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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