Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation. This setup supports modest daytime heating above the seasonal normal of roughly 27°C, though increasing cloud cover and potential evening showers could cap the peak. Official observations from the Tokyo station will determine resolution, and the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C reflects trader assessment of ensemble guidance and short-term stability in the current pattern. Updated model runs and JMA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
30°C 51%
29°C 24%
31°C 16%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
24%
30°C
51%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
29°C 24%
31°C 16%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
24%
30°C
51%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation. This setup supports modest daytime heating above the seasonal normal of roughly 27°C, though increasing cloud cover and potential evening showers could cap the peak. Official observations from the Tokyo station will determine resolution, and the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C reflects trader assessment of ensemble guidance and short-term stability in the current pattern. Updated model runs and JMA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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