Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Incheon on August 26, 2026, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 30°C and 31°C outcomes. A transition to mostly cloudy or overcast conditions, combined with light easterly flow and modest precipitation chances around 20%, is limiting daytime heating compared to the early-August heatwave peaks above 38°C. Seasonal norms for late August in the Seoul-Incheon region center on 29–31°C highs, and current ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential beyond 32°C due to increasing cloud cover and marine influence from the Yellow Sea. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon clearing or showers that could cap or elevate the official Incheon station reading.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
30°C 40%
31°C 30%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
30%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
31°C 30%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
30%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Incheon on August 26, 2026, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 30°C and 31°C outcomes. A transition to mostly cloudy or overcast conditions, combined with light easterly flow and modest precipitation chances around 20%, is limiting daytime heating compared to the early-August heatwave peaks above 38°C. Seasonal norms for late August in the Seoul-Incheon region center on 29–31°C highs, and current ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential beyond 32°C due to increasing cloud cover and marine influence from the Yellow Sea. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon clearing or showers that could cap or elevate the official Incheon station reading.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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