Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon aviation observations point to a minimum of 24–26°C on August 25, aligning with trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes. Persistent warm, humid conditions from the late-summer air mass, combined with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, limit overnight radiative cooling and support these levels. Climatological normals for Incheon in late August show typical lows of 23–25°C, but recent observations (including 25°C on August 20) and a developing El Niño pattern favoring above-average regional temperatures have kept implied probabilities clustered near the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation before resolution remain key variables that could adjust the final recorded low at the Incheon station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
26°C 44%
25°C 28%
27°C 20%
24°C 13%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
13%
25°C
28%
26°C
44%
27°C
20%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
4%
26°C 44%
25°C 28%
27°C 20%
24°C 13%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
13%
25°C
28%
26°C
44%
27°C
20%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon aviation observations point to a minimum of 24–26°C on August 25, aligning with trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes. Persistent warm, humid conditions from the late-summer air mass, combined with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, limit overnight radiative cooling and support these levels. Climatological normals for Incheon in late August show typical lows of 23–25°C, but recent observations (including 25°C on August 20) and a developing El Niño pattern favoring above-average regional temperatures have kept implied probabilities clustered near the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation before resolution remain key variables that could adjust the final recorded low at the Incheon station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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