Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C at Incheon under mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of light precipitation, keeping solar insolation moderate and preventing strong afternoon heating. Persistent easterly flow and residual moisture from earlier monsoon influences continue to cap temperatures below the mid-August peaks seen during the record heatwave. With the market split almost evenly between the 30°C and 31°C bins, traders are reflecting small but material differences in how global and regional models handle boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any late-day clearing that could add 1°C. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, so the tight distribution underscores genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal ahead of the final model updates on the 24th.