Official forecasts from agencies like Climatempo and regional models converged on a 33°C peak for São Paulo on August 29 under a warm, dry air mass with minimal cloud cover and strong solar heating, pushing afternoon temperatures well above the late-August climatological average of around 22–24°C. This consensus, reinforced by pre-event model guidance showing steady daytime warming without significant cooling factors like rain or sea breezes, drove the market's 100% implied probability for 33°C as the highest temperature recorded at the designated station. Realistic challenges include post-event revisions from the primary observing site, such as Guarulhos Airport data differing from broader city averages, or localized microclimate effects not captured in initial runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$30,498 Vol.
$30,498 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$30,498 Vol.
$30,498 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
28°C or below
$1,728 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,780 Vol.
No
30°C
$924 Vol.
No
31°C
$851 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,021 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,652 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$4,227 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,025 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,774 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,835 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,682 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies like Climatempo and regional models converged on a 33°C peak for São Paulo on August 29 under a warm, dry air mass with minimal cloud cover and strong solar heating, pushing afternoon temperatures well above the late-August climatological average of around 22–24°C. This consensus, reinforced by pre-event model guidance showing steady daytime warming without significant cooling factors like rain or sea breezes, drove the market's 100% implied probability for 33°C as the highest temperature recorded at the designated station. Realistic challenges include post-event revisions from the primary observing site, such as Guarulhos Airport data differing from broader city averages, or localized microclimate effects not captured in initial runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$30,498Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies like Climatempo and regional models converged on a 33°C peak for São Paulo on August 29 under a warm, dry air mass with minimal cloud cover and strong solar heating, pushing afternoon temperatures well above the late-August climatological average of around 22–24°C. This consensus, reinforced by pre-event model guidance showing steady daytime warming without significant cooling factors like rain or sea breezes, drove the market's 100% implied probability for 33°C as the highest temperature recorded at the designated station. Realistic challenges include post-event revisions from the primary observing site, such as Guarulhos Airport data differing from broader city averages, or localized microclimate effects not captured in initial runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,498Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official forecasts from agencies like Climatempo and regional models converged on a 33°C peak for São Paulo on August 29 under a warm, dry air mass with minimal cloud cover and strong solar heating, pushing afternoon temperatures well above the late-August climatological average of around 22–24°C. This consensus, reinforced by pre-event model guidance showing steady daytime warming without significant cooling factors like rain or sea breezes, drove the market's 100% implied probability for 33°C as the highest temperature recorded at the designated station. Realistic challenges include post-event revisions from the primary observing site, such as Guarulhos Airport data differing from broader city averages, or localized microclimate effects not captured in initial runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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