**Traders have converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from aligned forecast models and real-time observations.** Multiple authoritative sources, including Yr, Met Office guidance, and Chinese meteorological summaries, consistently project a daily maximum of 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds around 3–5 m/s. Current surface readings hover near 24–26°C, with dew points in the low-20s supporting modest warming before nocturnal cooling sets in. This matches typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 28–29°C but are tempered today by onshore flow and cloud cover limiting insolation. The market-implied 100% probability on 27°C underscores the tight consensus across global and regional models with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike above 27°C from localized heating or measurement variance at official stations, though prevailing conditions make this highly improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,097 Vol.
$21,097 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,097 Vol.
$21,097 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from aligned forecast models and real-time observations.** Multiple authoritative sources, including Yr, Met Office guidance, and Chinese meteorological summaries, consistently project a daily maximum of 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds around 3–5 m/s. Current surface readings hover near 24–26°C, with dew points in the low-20s supporting modest warming before nocturnal cooling sets in. This matches typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 28–29°C but are tempered today by onshore flow and cloud cover limiting insolation. The market-implied 100% probability on 27°C underscores the tight consensus across global and regional models with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike above 27°C from localized heating or measurement variance at official stations, though prevailing conditions make this highly improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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