Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Dallas confirmed a daily high of 100–101°F on August 29, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong subsidence maintained extreme surface heating, with afternoon dew points in the upper 60s supporting heat indices well above 105°F. Model consensus from the previous 48 hours had already converged on this range, aligning with climatological peaks for late August in North Texas. Minor revisions to the final official maximum remain possible but would require documented station errors or post-analysis adjustments, scenarios with negligible historical precedent once preliminary data are released.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
100-101°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$28,604 Vol.
$28,604 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
95°F or below
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$28,604 Vol.
$28,604 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
95°F or below
$452 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$1,255 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$5,333 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$10,204 Vol.
Yes
102-103°F
$5,834 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$2,600 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$1,474 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$792 Vol.
No
110-111°F
$148 Vol.
No
112-113°F
$277 Vol.
No
114°F or higher
$235 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Dallas confirmed a daily high of 100–101°F on August 29, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong subsidence maintained extreme surface heating, with afternoon dew points in the upper 60s supporting heat indices well above 105°F. Model consensus from the previous 48 hours had already converged on this range, aligning with climatological peaks for late August in North Texas. Minor revisions to the final official maximum remain possible but would require documented station errors or post-analysis adjustments, scenarios with negligible historical precedent once preliminary data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$28,604Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Dallas confirmed a daily high of 100–101°F on August 29, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong subsidence maintained extreme surface heating, with afternoon dew points in the upper 60s supporting heat indices well above 105°F. Model consensus from the previous 48 hours had already converged on this range, aligning with climatological peaks for late August in North Texas. Minor revisions to the final official maximum remain possible but would require documented station errors or post-analysis adjustments, scenarios with negligible historical precedent once preliminary data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,604Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Dallas confirmed a daily high of 100–101°F on August 29, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong subsidence maintained extreme surface heating, with afternoon dew points in the upper 60s supporting heat indices well above 105°F. Model consensus from the previous 48 hours had already converged on this range, aligning with climatological peaks for late August in North Texas. Minor revisions to the final official maximum remain possible but would require documented station errors or post-analysis adjustments, scenarios with negligible historical precedent once preliminary data are released.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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