Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Chengdu’s August 1 high because short-range models show modest variability in afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the East Asian monsoon. Persistent humidity near 80–90% and light northeasterly flow limit daytime heating, while any earlier or later arrival of rain can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs highlight this narrow range, with historical August averages near 30°C tempered by frequent convective activity this season. The 0.5% odds on 32°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear skies and stronger insolation under current steering patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 1?
27°C 29%
26°C 27%
28°C 19%
25°C 17%
$26,238 Vol.
$26,238 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
17%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 29%
26°C 27%
28°C 19%
25°C 17%
$26,238 Vol.
$26,238 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
17%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Chengdu’s August 1 high because short-range models show modest variability in afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the East Asian monsoon. Persistent humidity near 80–90% and light northeasterly flow limit daytime heating, while any earlier or later arrival of rain can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs highlight this narrow range, with historical August averages near 30°C tempered by frequent convective activity this season. The 0.5% odds on 32°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear skies and stronger insolation under current steering patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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