Current forecast models from AccuWeather, World Weather Online, and similar sources indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds characteristic of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation, aligning closely with long-term climatological averages of 28–29°C for early August and recent late-July observations around 28–30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes captures inherent forecast uncertainty and potential for slight model variability in peak timing or local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 29°C+ underscore the limited scope for atypical intensification absent major synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official meteorological briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 2?
27°C 50%
28°C 29%
26°C 12%
29°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
50%
28°C
29%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 29%
26°C 12%
29°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$269 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$373 Vol.
1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
2%
26°C
$408 Vol.
12%
27°C
$809 Vol.
50%
28°C
$742 Vol.
29%
29°C
$410 Vol.
8%
30°C
$806 Vol.
4%
31°C
$164 Vol.
2%
32°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from AccuWeather, World Weather Online, and similar sources indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds characteristic of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation, aligning closely with long-term climatological averages of 28–29°C for early August and recent late-July observations around 28–30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes captures inherent forecast uncertainty and potential for slight model variability in peak timing or local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 29°C+ underscore the limited scope for atypical intensification absent major synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official meteorological briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,493Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from AccuWeather, World Weather Online, and similar sources indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds characteristic of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation, aligning closely with long-term climatological averages of 28–29°C for early August and recent late-July observations around 28–30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes captures inherent forecast uncertainty and potential for slight model variability in peak timing or local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 29°C+ underscore the limited scope for atypical intensification absent major synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official meteorological briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,493Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from AccuWeather, World Weather Online, and similar sources indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds characteristic of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation, aligning closely with long-term climatological averages of 28–29°C for early August and recent late-July observations around 28–30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes captures inherent forecast uncertainty and potential for slight model variability in peak timing or local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 29°C+ underscore the limited scope for atypical intensification absent major synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official meteorological briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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