Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Istanbul on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with seasonal climatology where August records average highs of 28–29°C, though current guidance shows modest cooling from earlier projections. The market's strong preference for 27°C at 69% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, while the 26°C outcome at 25% accounts for minor downward revisions possible from observational data. Official measurements from Turkish meteorological services will resolve the market once the day's peak is confirmed.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
27°C 70%
26°C 26%
28°C 4%
25°C 3%
BAGO
$10,430 Vol.
BAGO
$10,430 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
26%
27°C
70%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 70%
26°C 26%
28°C 4%
25°C 3%
BAGO
$10,430 Vol.
BAGO
$10,430 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$447 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,591 Vol.
26%
27°C
$3,506 Vol.
70%
28°C
$2,136 Vol.
4%
29°C
$523 Vol.
2%
30°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Istanbul on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with seasonal climatology where August records average highs of 28–29°C, though current guidance shows modest cooling from earlier projections. The market's strong preference for 27°C at 69% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, while the 26°C outcome at 25% accounts for minor downward revisions possible from observational data. Official measurements from Turkish meteorological services will resolve the market once the day's peak is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,430Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Istanbul on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with seasonal climatology where August records average highs of 28–29°C, though current guidance shows modest cooling from earlier projections. The market's strong preference for 27°C at 69% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, while the 26°C outcome at 25% accounts for minor downward revisions possible from observational data. Official measurements from Turkish meteorological services will resolve the market once the day's peak is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,430Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Istanbul on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with seasonal climatology where August records average highs of 28–29°C, though current guidance shows modest cooling from earlier projections. The market's strong preference for 27°C at 69% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, while the 26°C outcome at 25% accounts for minor downward revisions possible from observational data. Official measurements from Turkish meteorological services will resolve the market once the day's peak is confirmed.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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