Latest forecasts from agencies including AEMET and BBC Weather indicate a peak near 36°C in Madrid on August 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over exact timing of the diurnal maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Historical August baselines average 31-33°C, yet current atmospheric patterns support readings 3-5°C above normal without extreme heatwave conditions. Final resolution hinges on AEMET's verified observations, where minor shifts in wind or insolation could tip the difference between the two leading probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
36°C 48%
37°C 44%
38°C 6%
35°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
48%
37°C
44%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
37°C 44%
38°C 6%
35°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
$562 Vol.
1%
33°C
$294 Vol.
1%
34°C
$577 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,077 Vol.
5%
36°C
$2,094 Vol.
48%
37°C
$2,049 Vol.
44%
38°C
$346 Vol.
6%
39°C
$477 Vol.
1%
40°C
$359 Vol.
1%
41°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$232 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including AEMET and BBC Weather indicate a peak near 36°C in Madrid on August 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over exact timing of the diurnal maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Historical August baselines average 31-33°C, yet current atmospheric patterns support readings 3-5°C above normal without extreme heatwave conditions. Final resolution hinges on AEMET's verified observations, where minor shifts in wind or insolation could tip the difference between the two leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,286Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including AEMET and BBC Weather indicate a peak near 36°C in Madrid on August 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over exact timing of the diurnal maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Historical August baselines average 31-33°C, yet current atmospheric patterns support readings 3-5°C above normal without extreme heatwave conditions. Final resolution hinges on AEMET's verified observations, where minor shifts in wind or insolation could tip the difference between the two leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,286Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including AEMET and BBC Weather indicate a peak near 36°C in Madrid on August 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over exact timing of the diurnal maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Historical August baselines average 31-33°C, yet current atmospheric patterns support readings 3-5°C above normal without extreme heatwave conditions. Final resolution hinges on AEMET's verified observations, where minor shifts in wind or insolation could tip the difference between the two leading probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong