**Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and short-range model guidance indicate a daily maximum near 27°C on July 31, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moisture from the summer monsoon trough that suppress surface heating.** Subtropical summer conditions normally support highs of 31–32 °C, yet recent ensemble runs show reduced diurnal temperature range and limited solar insolation, keeping peaks clustered around or slightly below the climatological average. High humidity further limits radiative cooling overnight while capping daytime warming, producing strong trader consensus on the 27 °C outcome. This positioning reflects real-capital aggregation of official monitoring data rather than a guarantee; small shifts in convection timing or wind direction could still alter the peak. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall remain realistic scenarios that might push the maximum to 28–29 °C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such developments before the observation window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$165,518 Vol.
$165,518 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$165,518 Vol.
$165,518 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
24°C or below
$411 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,714 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$29,948 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,234 Vol.
100%
28°C
$30,876 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$20,294 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,215 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12,624 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,454 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,340 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$2,410 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and short-range model guidance indicate a daily maximum near 27°C on July 31, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moisture from the summer monsoon trough that suppress surface heating.** Subtropical summer conditions normally support highs of 31–32 °C, yet recent ensemble runs show reduced diurnal temperature range and limited solar insolation, keeping peaks clustered around or slightly below the climatological average. High humidity further limits radiative cooling overnight while capping daytime warming, producing strong trader consensus on the 27 °C outcome.
This positioning reflects real-capital aggregation of official monitoring data rather than a guarantee; small shifts in convection timing or wind direction could still alter the peak. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall remain realistic scenarios that might push the maximum to 28–29 °C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such developments before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$165,518Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and short-range model guidance indicate a daily maximum near 27°C on July 31, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moisture from the summer monsoon trough that suppress surface heating.** Subtropical summer conditions normally support highs of 31–32 °C, yet recent ensemble runs show reduced diurnal temperature range and limited solar insolation, keeping peaks clustered around or slightly below the climatological average. High humidity further limits radiative cooling overnight while capping daytime warming, producing strong trader consensus on the 27 °C outcome.
This positioning reflects real-capital aggregation of official monitoring data rather than a guarantee; small shifts in convection timing or wind direction could still alter the peak. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall remain realistic scenarios that might push the maximum to 28–29 °C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such developments before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$165,518Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and short-range model guidance indicate a daily maximum near 27°C on July 31, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moisture from the summer monsoon trough that suppress surface heating.** Subtropical summer conditions normally support highs of 31–32 °C, yet recent ensemble runs show reduced diurnal temperature range and limited solar insolation, keeping peaks clustered around or slightly below the climatological average. High humidity further limits radiative cooling overnight while capping daytime warming, producing strong trader consensus on the 27 °C outcome. This positioning reflects real-capital aggregation of official monitoring data rather than a guarantee; small shifts in convection timing or wind direction could still alter the peak. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall remain realistic scenarios that might push the maximum to 28–29 °C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such developments before the observation window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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