Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow on August 2, keeping daytime maxima in the 32–34 °C range. These conditions follow a pattern of near-normal temperatures for early August, when climatological highs average near 32 °C amid active rainfall that suppresses peak heating. Recent observations show partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated heavy rain episodes, consistent with the market-implied 50 % probability on 34 °C or higher and 25.5 % on exactly 33 °C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 2?
34°C or higher 50%
33°C 26%
32°C 17%
31°C 7%
$12,699 Vol.
$12,699 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
17%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
50%
34°C or higher 50%
33°C 26%
32°C 17%
31°C 7%
$12,699 Vol.
$12,699 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
17%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow on August 2, keeping daytime maxima in the 32–34 °C range. These conditions follow a pattern of near-normal temperatures for early August, when climatological highs average near 32 °C amid active rainfall that suppresses peak heating. Recent observations show partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated heavy rain episodes, consistent with the market-implied 50 % probability on 34 °C or higher and 25.5 % on exactly 33 °C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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